Back to all posts$2.68B in crypto assets to be unlocked in November. Explore the impact on liquidity, volatility, and strategic tokenomics to navigate market changes.
November 3, 2024

Upcoming $2.68 Billion Token Unlock: Should We Be Worried?

November is just around the corner, and with it comes a potential storm in the crypto market. A staggering $2.68 billion in digital assets is set to be unlocked, involving major players like Memecoin, Aptos, and Arbitrum. As someone who's been around the block a few times (pun intended), I know how these events can shake things up. So let's dive into what token unlocks are, their implications, and how we might navigate this situation.

What Are Token Unlocks Anyway?

What exactly are we talking about here? Token unlocks refer to the release of previously locked tokens into circulation. These tokens are usually held back as part of a vesting schedule designed to prevent early investors or team members from dumping their bags and crashing the market before a project has had time to mature.

There are two main types of unlocks: linear and cliff. Linear unlocks gradually release tokens over time, which can have a subtle effect on the market. Cliff unlocks dump a large chunk all at once—think of it as an ice age coming down on us—and they tend to create immediate chaos.

The Big Players This November

According to data from Tokenomist, November will see some serious action with over $900 million being unlocked on a cliff basis alone! Here are some notable projects:

Memecoin (MEME)

Memecoin is set to release 3.45 billion coins (worth about $37 million) for its airdrop. Alongside that, there's also a linear unlock happening that will release over 10 million MEME tokens daily for contributors.

Aptos (APT)

The layer-1 blockchain Aptos will unlock 11.31 million tokens worth approximately $93 million. The distribution seems friendly enough—$32 million for core contributors and $26 million for the community—but we'll see how the market reacts.

Avalanche (AVAX)

Avalanche is unlocking 1.67 million AVAX tokens worth about $39 million for its foundation. This one’s going under my radar but I’ll keep an eye out.

Optimism (OP)

Optimism will release 31.4 million tokens valued at around $44 million for its investors and core contributors.

Arbitrum (ARB)

Finally, we have Arbitrum releasing 92.65 million tokens worth approximately $45 million allocated to its investors and team members. Given that they released over 1 billion tokens back in March—which led to a significant price drop—I’m particularly interested in this one.

How Do These Unlocks Affect Liquidity?

Token unlocks can dramatically change liquidity conditions in crypto markets by increasing circulating supply and creating potential selling pressure on prices.

Historically speaking, most token unlock events have been bearish—at least that's what my experience tells me—but there are exceptions depending on whether or not the event was "priced in."

The type of unlock plays an important role too; cliff events tend to create more chaos than linear ones simply because of their nature.

Strategies For Surviving The Chaos

If you're not prepared for these kinds of events you might end up wrecked; however if you know what you're doing there could be opportunities waiting!

Here’s where strategic tokenomics come into play:

1) Vesting Schedules: Implementing gradual release mechanisms can help stabilize prices.

2) Balanced Supply & Demand: Timing your releases so that you don’t flood the market is crucial.

3) Staking Mechanisms: Encourage people to stake your token so that less is available on exchanges.

4) Market Maker Engagement: Having good liquidity providers can smooth out volatility

5) Community Education: An informed community is less likely to panic

6) Governance Transparency: Clear communication builds trust

Final Thoughts

As we gear up for November's massive token unlocks, it's essential to understand what’s at stake here—especially if you're involved with any of these projects personally!

While there's potential chaos lurking around every corner...there could also be opportunities if one plays their cards right!

Stay safe out there folks!

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